TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-3%" at 22.0% on "TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $106 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 0-3%
▼0.522%
PoliticsVol $106Total volume $10KLiquidity $142Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 0-3%
22.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 0-3%
19.0%
–
Republican 3-6%
14.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 3-6%
13.2%
–
Democrat 6-9%
11.3%
▼8.2
Republican 12%+
5.50%
▲1.4
Republican 9-12%
5.10%
▲3.0
Republican 6-9%
4.50%
▲0.5
Democrat 9-12%
4.35%
▼2.9
Democrat 12%+
1.60%
–

Probability over time

Republican 0-3%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 6-9%
Republican 12%+
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.