TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 12%+" at 32.0% on "TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 5.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 12%+
▼5.032%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $273Liquidity $9.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 12%+
32.0%
▼5.0
Republican 0-3%
23.5%
▼2.0
Republican 6-9%
21.5%
▼4.0
Republican 9-12%
21.0%
▼4.0
Republican 3-6%
19.0%
▼6.0
Democrat 12%+
9.50%
▼2.0
Democrat 0-3%
8.50%
▲1.5
Democrat 3-6%
8.50%
▲0.5
Democrat 9-12%
7.50%
▼0.5
Democrat 6-9%
6.50%
–
Probability over time
Republican 12%+
Republican 0-3%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 12%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
