TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 9-12%" at 19.5% on "TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 9-12%
–20%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $12KLiquidity $147Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 9-12%
19.5%
–
Republican 6-9%
18.6%
–
Republican 12-15%
14.0%
▲1.5
Republican 21%+
13.5%
▲1.5
Republican 3-6%
9.00%
–
Democrat 0-3%
6.35%
–
Republican 15-18%
5.25%
–
Republican 0-3%
5.10%
–
Republican 18-21%
4.55%
–
Democrat 3%+
1.30%
–
Probability over time
Republican 9-12%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 21%+
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 0-3%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
