TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 12-15%" at 25.5% on "TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 12-15%
▲6.026%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $200Liquidity $1.9Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 12-15%
25.5%
▲6.0
Republican 6-9%
21.0%
▼3.0
Republican 21%+
20.5%
–
Republican 3-6%
20.5%
▼2.0
Republican 9-12%
20.0%
▼3.5
Republican 18-21%
19.5%
▼3.0
Republican 0-3%
19.0%
▼11.5
Democrat 3%+
19.0%
▼0.5
Republican 15-18%
17.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 0-3%
17.0%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Republican 12-15%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 21%+
Republican 3-6%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 18-21%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
