TX-25 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 29.5% on "TX-25 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. $2.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▼3.030%
PoliticsVol $2.4KTotal volume $12KLiquidity $49Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
29.5%
▼3.0
Republican 10-15%
27.0%
▼3.5
Republican 5-10%
20.5%
▼0.5
Republican 20-25%
15.5%
▲2.0
Democrat Wins
8.85%
▲1.5
Republican 25-30%
5.40%
–
Republican 0-5%
5.35%
–
Republican 30%+
5.20%
–

Probability over time

Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 20-25%
Democrat Wins
Republican 25-30%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.