TX-25 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-5%" at 37.5% on "TX-25 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 0-5%
0.538%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.1Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 0-5%
37.5%
0.5
Republican 5-10%
33.5%
4.5
Republican 15-20%
29.5%
2.0
Republican 25-30%
27.5%
1.5
Democrat Wins
24.0%
6.0

Probability over time

Republican 0-5%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 25-30%
Democrat Wins
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.