TX-26 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 38.0% on "TX-26 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
▲6.038%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $29Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
38.0%
▲6.0
Republican 30%+
37.0%
▲5.5
Republican 5-10%
35.5%
▲8.0
Republican 0-5%
35.0%
▲3.0
Republican 10-15%
34.5%
▲10.0
Republican 15-20%
26.0%
▼0.5
Republican 20-25%
22.5%
–
Democrat Wins
19.5%
▼3.0
Probability over time
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30%+
Republican 5-10%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
