TX-26 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 33.0% on "TX-26 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $61 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▲1.533%
PoliticsVol $61Total volume $8.7KLiquidity $104Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
33.0%
▲1.5
Republican 15-20%
29.3%
▼4.5
Republican 20-25%
15.0%
–
Republican 5-10%
10.7%
▼0.5
Republican 30%+
9.80%
▲3.3
Republican 25-30%
6.50%
–
Republican 0-5%
5.90%
▼1.4
Democrat Wins
0.15%
–

Probability over time

Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 30%+
Republican 25-30%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.