TX-27 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 27.0% on "TX-27 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
▼2.527%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
27.0%
▼2.5
Republican 15-20%
27.0%
▼2.0
Republican 5-10%
26.5%
▼2.0
Republican 10-15%
26.0%
▲0.5
Republican 30%+
24.5%
▼2.5
Democrat Wins
21.5%
▼3.5
Republican 20-25%
21.0%
–
Republican 0-5%
19.0%
▼1.5
Probability over time
Republican 25-30%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 30%+
Democrat Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
