TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 9-12%" at 25.0% on "TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.5%p from yesterday. $83 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 9-12%
▲3.525%
PoliticsVol $83Total volume $9.2KLiquidity $179Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 9-12%
25.0%
▲3.5
Democrat 6-9%
16.5%
–
Democrat 3-6%
14.5%
–
Democrat 21%+
11.5%
–
Republican 0-3%
11.0%
–
Democrat 0-3%
9.05%
–
Democrat 15-18%
8.45%
–
Democrat 12-15%
7.85%
–
Democrat 18-21%
7.45%
–
Republican 3%+
2.00%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 21%+
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 0-3%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
