TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 3-6%" at 27.0% on "TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 3-6%
▼3.527%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $36Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 3-6%
27.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 18-21%
26.5%
▼8.0
Democrat 0-3%
25.5%
▼6.0
Democrat 9-12%
24.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 6-9%
22.0%
▼5.0
Democrat 21%+
21.5%
▼5.5
Democrat 15-18%
21.0%
▼7.5
Republican 0-3%
21.0%
▲3.5
Democrat 12-15%
20.0%
▼7.0
Republican 3%+
9.00%
▼21.5
Probability over time
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 18-21%
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 21%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
