TX-30 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 55-60%" at 23.2% on "TX-30 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.8%p from yesterday. $77 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 55-60%
▼1.823%
PoliticsVol $77Total volume $10KLiquidity $121Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 55-60%
23.2%
▼1.8
Democrat 50-55%
21.0%
–
Democrat 60-65%
20.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 45-50%
16.4%
▼1.1
Democrat 70%+
10.9%
▲2.6
Democrat 40-45%
5.80%
▲0.5
Republican Wins
5.00%
▼0.5
Democrat 65-70%
3.75%
–
Democrat 0-30%
3.75%
–
Democrat 30-40%
3.25%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 70%+
Democrat 40-45%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
