TX-30 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 65-70%" at 22.5% on "TX-30 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 9.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 65-70%
▼9.023%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $78Liquidity $9.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 65-70%
22.5%
▼9.0
Democrat 60-65%
22.5%
▼11.0
Democrat 50-55%
22.5%
▼9.5
Democrat 45-50%
22.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 70%+
21.5%
▼5.5
Democrat 0-30%
19.5%
▼14.5
Democrat 55-60%
17.5%
▼6.0
Democrat 40-45%
17.5%
▼14.5
Democrat 30-40%
16.0%
▼15.5
Republican Wins
2.30%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 70%+
Democrat 0-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
