TX-31 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 32.5% on "TX-31 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 8.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▲8.033%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $21Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
32.5%
▲8.0
Republican 10-15%
27.5%
▼12.5
Republican 5-10%
27.5%
▼2.5
Republican 0-5%
27.5%
▼1.5
Republican 30%+
26.5%
▼9.0
Republican 25-30%
24.5%
▲1.0
Republican 20-25%
21.5%
▼4.0
Democrat Wins
5.50%
▼15.5
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 30%+
Republican 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
