TX-31 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 28.5% on "TX-31 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $192 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▼0.528%
PoliticsVol $192Total volume $12KLiquidity $102Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
28.5%
▼0.5
Republican 5-10%
19.5%
▲4.5
Republican 20-25%
12.2%
▼3.4
Republican 15-20%
10.0%
▼11.0
Republican 0-5%
7.60%
▼1.0
Republican 25-30%
6.35%
–
Republican 30%+
4.65%
–
Democrat Wins
3.05%
–
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
