TX-33 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 50-55%" at 28.5% on "TX-33 House Election Margin of Victory". $90 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 50-55%
–28%
PoliticsVol $90Total volume $7.9KLiquidity $170Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 50-55%
28.5%
–
Democrat 45-50%
24.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 40-45%
24.0%
▲1.5
Democrat 35-40%
15.6%
▼1.8
Democrat 55-60%
3.10%
–
Democrat 20-30%
2.85%
–
Democrat 0-20%
2.60%
▲1.6
Democrat 30-35%
1.65%
–
Democrat 60%+
0.45%
–
Republican Wins
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 20-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
