TX-33 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 45-50%" at 32.0% on "TX-33 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 4.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 45-50%
▼4.532%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $200Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 45-50%
32.0%
▼4.5
Democrat 60%+
31.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 55-60%
31.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 50-55%
30.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 40-45%
28.0%
▼5.0
Democrat 35-40%
27.5%
▼6.0
Democrat 20-30%
27.5%
▼6.5
Democrat 30-35%
27.0%
▼9.0
Democrat 0-20%
24.0%
▼8.5
Republican Wins
3.65%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 60%+
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
