TX-34 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 6-9%" at 34.5% on "TX-34 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 6-9%
▲5.035%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $250Liquidity $1.1Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 6-9%
34.5%
▲5.0
Democrat 0-3%
32.5%
▲1.5
Democrat 12%+
30.0%
▼3.5
Republican 0-3%
27.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 9-12%
26.5%
▼7.5
Democrat 3-6%
24.5%
▼4.5
Republican 12%+
11.0%
▼1.0
Republican 3-6%
8.50%
▲2.5
Probability over time
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 12%+
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 3-6%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
