TX-34 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 12%+" at 36.8% on "TX-34 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 14.8%p from yesterday. $386 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 12%+
▲14.837%
PoliticsVol $386Total volume $9.1KLiquidity $87Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 12%+
36.8%
▲14.8
Democrat 6-9%
17.0%
–
Democrat 3-6%
16.9%
▼3.6
Democrat 0-3%
15.0%
▲7.0
Republican 6-9%
6.20%
▼0.8
Democrat 9-12%
5.90%
▼3.6
Republican 3-6%
4.35%
–
Republican 0-3%
4.35%
▲1.1
Republican 9-12%
3.95%
–
Republican 12%+
3.90%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 12%+
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 6-9%
Democrat 9-12%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
