TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 35.5% on "TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $9 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▲1.536%
PoliticsVol $9Total volume $8.9KLiquidity $78Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
35.5%
▲1.5
Republican 15-20%
20.0%
▼1.0
Republican 20-25%
18.5%
–
Republican 5-10%
13.5%
▼1.7
Republican 25-30%
8.75%
▼2.4
Republican 30%+
8.25%
▲3.3
Democrat Wins
3.85%
▼1.2
Republican 0-5%
1.75%
–
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
