TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 27.0% on "TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
▼2.527%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $33Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
27.0%
▼2.5
Republican 15-20%
27.0%
▼3.0
Republican 0-5%
27.0%
▲1.0
Republican 30%+
25.5%
▼4.0
Democrat Wins
22.5%
▼6.0
Republican 10-15%
22.0%
▼3.0
Republican 5-10%
22.0%
▼2.5
Republican 20-25%
21.0%
▼2.0
Probability over time
Republican 25-30%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 30%+
Democrat Wins
Republican 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
