TX-37 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Greg Casar (D)" at 97.6% on "TX-37 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Greg Casar (D)
–98%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $45KLiquidity $36Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Greg Casar (D)
97.6%
–
Lauren Peña (R)
0.95%
–
Probability over time
Greg Casar (D)
Lauren Peña (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
