TX-37 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 65-70%" at 30.5% on "TX-37 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 6.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 65-70%
6.531%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $362Liquidity $9.3Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 65-70%
30.5%
6.5
Democrat 35-45%
30.5%
0.5
Democrat 0-35%
30.0%
5.0
Democrat 50-55%
28.5%
4.0
Democrat 70-75%
26.0%
7.0
Democrat 60-65%
26.0%
4.5
Democrat 75%+
25.0%
6.5
Democrat 45-50%
25.0%
4.5
Democrat 55-60%
24.5%
4.5
Republican Wins
1.20%

Probability over time

Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 35-45%
Democrat 0-35%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 70-75%
Democrat 60-65%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.