TX-37 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 60-65%" at 33.5% on "TX-37 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 60-65%
▲2.034%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $9.7KLiquidity $146Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 60-65%
33.5%
▲2.0
Democrat 65-70%
23.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 55-60%
19.1%
–
Democrat 50-55%
8.50%
–
Democrat 70-75%
6.20%
–
Democrat 75%+
4.50%
–
Democrat 35-45%
3.45%
–
Democrat 45-50%
3.30%
–
Republican Wins
1.25%
–
Democrat 0-35%
1.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 70-75%
Democrat 75%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
