TX-38 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Jon Bonck (R)" at 91.0% on "TX-38 House Election Winner". $16 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Jon Bonck (R)
–91%
PoliticsVol $16Total volume $29KLiquidity $61Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Jon Bonck (R)
91.0%
–
Melissa McDonough (D)
6.85%
–
Probability over time
Jon Bonck (R)
Melissa McDonough (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
