TX-38 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 30%+" at 38.5% on "TX-38 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 30%+
–39%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $760in 25 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 30%+
38.5%
–
Republican 20-25%
38.5%
–
Republican 10-15%
38.0%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Republican 30%+
Republican 20-25%
Republican 10-15%
2026-10-01 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
