Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
Polymarket traders put "Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?" at 4.5%. $100 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 1.
Most likely right now
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
–5%
PoliticsVol $100Total volume $812Liquidity $22Kin 2 months (Nov 1)
Current probability
Sep 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
4.50%
–
Probability over time
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
2026-09-01 ~ 2026-09-02 · y-axis %
