Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election?
Polymarket traders put "<53" at 36.3% on "Union Centriste Seat Count after French Senate Election?". Up 7.8%p from yesterday. $127 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 28.
Most likely right now
<53
▲7.836%
PoliticsVol $127Total volume $16KLiquidity $42KClosed (Sep 28)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
<53
36.3%
▲7.8
59-61
3.15%
▲1.1
65-67
1.90%
–
53-55
1.60%
–
56-58
1.30%
▼6.2
68+
0.15%
–
Probability over time
<53
59-61
65-67
53-55
56-58
68+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
