US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?

Polymarket traders put "US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?" at 43.5%. Down 10.5%p from yesterday. $70 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
10.544%
PoliticsVol $70Total volume $94KLiquidity $59Comments 2in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
43.5%
10.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.