US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Polymarket traders put "US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?" at 72.5%. $76K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
–73%
PoliticsVol $76KTotal volume $75KLiquidity $73Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
72.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.