US x Russia military clash by...?
Polymarket traders put "US x Russia military clash by...?" at 4.3%. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
–4%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.8MLiquidity $24KComments 17in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
4.35%
–
Probability over time
December 31, 2026
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
