US x Russia military clash by...?
Polymarket traders put "US x Russia military clash by...?" at 3.3%. Unchanged from yesterday. $28 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
–3%
PoliticsVol $28Total volume $1.8MLiquidity $27KComments 17in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
3.25%
–
Probability over time
December 31, 2026
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
