U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 5.4% on "U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
–5%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $661KLiquidity $10.0KComments 37in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
5.40%
–
September 30
5.35%
▼1.3
Probability over time
December 31
September 30
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
