UT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 28.5% on "UT-01 House Election Margin of Victory". $260 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
–28%
PoliticsVol $260Total volume $5.4KLiquidity $125Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
28.5%
–
Democrat 30-35%
25.8%
▼1.7
Democrat 25-30%
23.0%
▲6.5
Democrat 40%+
18.8%
▲2.9
Democrat 20-25%
10.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 15-20%
2.90%
–
Democrat 10-15%
1.80%
▼0.5
Democrat 0-10%
1.50%
–
Republican Wins
0.65%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 40%+
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
