UT-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 23.5% on "UT-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 8.5%p from yesterday. $7 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
▲8.524%
PoliticsVol $7Total volume $10KLiquidity $76Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
23.5%
▲8.5
Republican 20-25%
20.5%
▲0.5
Republican 5-15%
20.4%
▼0.6
Republican 15-20%
17.0%
▼7.0
Republican 30-35%
15.0%
▲4.9
Republican 35-40%
5.70%
▼3.4
Republican 45%+
4.90%
–
Republican 40-45%
4.50%
–
Republican 0-5%
3.30%
▼11.0
Democrat Wins
1.65%
–
Probability over time
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 5-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
