UT-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-15%" at 31.0% on "UT-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 8.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 5-15%
▲8.031%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $17Liquidity $9.9Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 5-15%
31.0%
▲8.0
Republican 15-20%
30.5%
▲4.0
Republican 35-40%
27.5%
▲1.0
Republican 25-30%
26.0%
▲7.0
Republican 20-25%
26.0%
–
Republican 30-35%
25.5%
▲2.5
Republican 0-5%
25.5%
▲2.5
Republican 45%+
25.0%
▼2.0
Republican 40-45%
24.0%
▲5.0
Democrat Wins
3.05%
–
Probability over time
Republican 5-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
