UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 30-35%" at 37.0% on "UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 30-35%
▲1.037%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $221Liquidity $9.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 30-35%
37.0%
▲1.0
Republican 20-25%
36.0%
▲8.5
Republican 40-45%
34.5%
▲8.0
Republican 10-20%
34.5%
▲8.0
Republican 50%+
34.0%
▲5.5
Republican 45-50%
30.0%
▲2.5
Republican 35-40%
28.0%
▼3.0
Republican 0-10%
27.5%
▼6.0
Republican 25-30%
26.5%
▼4.0
Democrat Wins
4.10%
▲0.6
Probability over time
Republican 30-35%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 10-20%
Republican 50%+
Republican 45-50%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
