UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 22.4% on "UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.2%p from yesterday. $62 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▲3.222%
PoliticsVol $62Total volume $21KLiquidity $107Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
22.4%
▲3.2
Republican 25-30%
21.5%
▼1.0
Republican 35-40%
21.0%
▲11.0
Republican 30-35%
13.5%
▲1.0
Republican 40-45%
12.8%
–
Republican 10-20%
12.6%
▼2.9
Republican 50%+
3.95%
▼1.6
Republican 45-50%
2.50%
▼0.5
Republican 0-10%
1.10%
–
Democrat Wins
0.45%
–
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 10-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
