VA-01 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Shannon Taylor (D)" at 54.0% on "VA-01 House Election Winner". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $57 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Shannon Taylor (D)
▲0.554%
PoliticsVol $57Total volume $64KLiquidity $98Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Shannon Taylor (D)
54.0%
▲0.5
Rob Wittman (R)
46.0%
▼0.5

Probability over time

Shannon Taylor (D)
Rob Wittman (R)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.