VA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 3-6%" at 22.5% on "VA-01 House Election Margin of Victory". $910 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 3-6%
–23%
PoliticsVol $910Total volume $14KLiquidity $62Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 3-6%
22.5%
–
Democrat 0-3%
19.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 9-12%
15.0%
▲5.8
Republican 3-6%
12.1%
▼9.4
Republican 0-3%
10.0%
▼3.0
Republican 6-9%
9.40%
▼1.4
Democrat 6-9%
8.65%
▼3.6
Republican 12%+
5.25%
–
Republican 9-12%
5.25%
▼9.7
Democrat 12%+
4.85%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 9-12%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 6-9%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
