VA-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Elaine Luria (D)" at 83.5% on "VA-02 House Election Winner". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. $3.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Elaine Luria (D)
▲2.084%
PoliticsVol $3.3KTotal volume $48KLiquidity $112Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Elaine Luria (D)
83.5%
▲2.0
Jen Kiggans (R)
14.0%
▼4.5
Probability over time
Elaine Luria (D)
Jen Kiggans (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
