VA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 9-12%" at 21.0% on "VA-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.0%p from yesterday. $160 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 9-12%
▲6.021%
PoliticsVol $160Total volume $12KLiquidity $118Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 9-12%
21.0%
▲6.0
Democrat 12-15%
19.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 6-9%
16.5%
▲9.5
Democrat 3-6%
14.3%
▲1.3
Democrat 15-18%
11.5%
▼5.5
Democrat 0-3%
8.00%
–
Republican 0-3%
7.60%
–
Democrat 18%+
6.50%
▼10.4
Republican 6%+
5.75%
–
Republican 3-6%
2.50%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 12-15%
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 15-18%
Democrat 0-3%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
