VA-03 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Bobby Scott (D)" at 95.2% on "VA-03 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Bobby Scott (D)
–95%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $69KLiquidity $32Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Bobby Scott (D)
95.2%
–
Edwin Rivera (R)
3.05%
–
Probability over time
Bobby Scott (D)
Edwin Rivera (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
