VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 25.5% on "VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 12.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
▼12.526%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $258Liquidity $1.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
25.5%
▼12.5
Democrat 30-35%
24.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 50-55%
24.0%
▼13.5
Democrat 55%+
22.5%
▼7.5
Democrat 25-30%
22.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 0-15%
22.0%
▼9.5
Democrat 15-25%
21.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 40-45%
20.0%
▼6.0
Democrat 45-50%
16.5%
▼15.0
Republican Wins
9.00%
▲3.5
Probability over time
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 55%+
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 0-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
