VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 45-50%" at 25.4% on "VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 4.8%p from yesterday. $80 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 45-50%
▼4.825%
PoliticsVol $80Total volume $29KLiquidity $167Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 45-50%
25.4%
▼4.8
Democrat 50-55%
22.7%
▲0.8
Democrat 55%+
15.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 40-45%
12.6%
–
Democrat 35-40%
7.50%
–
Democrat 30-35%
1.85%
–
Democrat 0-15%
0.30%
–
Democrat 25-30%
0.20%
–
Republican Wins
0.20%
–
Democrat 15-25%
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 55%+
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
