VA-05 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "John McGuire (R)" at 77.5% on "VA-05 House Election Winner". $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
John McGuire (R)
–78%
PoliticsVol $1.1KTotal volume $115KLiquidity $86Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
John McGuire (R)
77.5%
–
Tom Perriello (D)
22.5%
▲1.0
Probability over time
John McGuire (R)
Tom Perriello (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
