VA-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-5%" at 49.5% on "VA-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 10.1%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 0-5%
▲10.150%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $2.9KLiquidity $17Kin 11 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 0-5%
49.5%
▲10.1
Republican 10-15%
42.5%
▲3.4
Republican 0-5%
40.8%
▲2.3
Republican 5-10%
38.4%
▲5.5
Republican 20-25%
34.5%
▲4.3
Republican 15-20%
30.8%
▼1.1
Democrat 5%+
18.3%
▼9.8
Republican 25%+
0.40%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 0-5%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-10-23 · y-axis %
