VA-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "VA-06 House Election Margin of Victory" at 35.0%. Up 18.5%p from yesterday. $10 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat Wins
18.535%
PoliticsVol $10Total volume $20Liquidity $530in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Sep 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat Wins
35.0%
18.5

Probability over time

Democrat Wins
02550751009/139/19
2026-09-13 ~ 2026-09-19 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.