VA-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 10-15%" at 26.5% on "VA-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $634 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 10-15%
▼1.527%
PoliticsVol $634Total volume $7.8KLiquidity $130Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 10-15%
26.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 15-20%
25.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 20-25%
23.5%
▲3.5
Democrat 25%+
19.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 0-5%
5.40%
▼1.7
Republican 5%+
2.70%
▼0.9
Democrat 5-10%
2.20%
–
Republican 0-5%
1.60%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 25%+
Democrat 0-5%
Republican 5%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
