VA-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-5%" at 31.0% on "VA-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 0-5%
▲0.531%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $128Liquidity $9.2Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 0-5%
31.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 20-25%
30.0%
▼6.0
Democrat 5-10%
29.5%
▼7.0
Democrat 25%+
26.0%
–
Democrat 15-20%
26.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 10-15%
26.0%
▼4.0
Republican 5%+
8.50%
▲2.5
Republican 0-5%
2.00%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 25%+
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
