VA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 50-55%" at 33.5% on "VA-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $6 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 50-55%
▲1.034%
PoliticsVol $6Total volume $6Liquidity $989in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Sep 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 50-55%
33.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 35-40%
33.0%
▲2.0
Democrat 55-60%
32.0%
▼0.5
Republican Wins
31.7%
▲28.7
Democrat 45-50%
31.5%
▼1.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
