VA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30%+" at 29.5% on "VA-10 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 4.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30%+
▼4.530%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $58Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30%+
29.5%
▼4.5
Democrat 20-25%
29.5%
▼5.0
Democrat 15-20%
29.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 0-5%
29.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 25-30%
24.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 10-15%
24.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 5-10%
22.0%
▼5.0
Republican Wins
10.0%
▲5.0
Probability over time
Democrat 30%+
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
