VA-10 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 26.5% on "VA-10 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $15 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▲0.527%
PoliticsVol $15Total volume $9.3KLiquidity $74Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
26.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 20-25%
25.0%
–
Democrat 15-20%
21.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 30%+
20.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 10-15%
8.75%
–
Democrat 5-10%
4.75%
▲2.5
Democrat 0-5%
3.80%
–
Republican Wins
0.55%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 30%+
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 5-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
