VA-11 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "James Walkinshaw (D)" at 96.4% on "VA-11 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
James Walkinshaw (D)
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $29KLiquidity $31Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
James Walkinshaw (D)
96.4%
–
Arthur Purves (R)
1.95%
–
Probability over time
James Walkinshaw (D)
Arthur Purves (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
