VA-11 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Democratic Party" at 97.0% on "VA-11 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democratic Party
–97%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $28KLiquidity $34Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democratic Party
97.0%
–
Republican Party
1.65%
–
Probability over time
Democratic Party
Republican Party
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
