Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia" at 43.0% on "Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $197 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 18.

Most likely right now
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
1.043%
PoliticsVol $197Total volume $197Liquidity $25Kin 16 days (Sep 18)
Current probability

Sep 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
43.0%
1.0
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
20.5%
21.5
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
12.5%
26.0
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
4.75%
32.3

Probability over time

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
02550751009/29/3
2026-09-02 ~ 2026-09-03 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.