Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 29.5% on "Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?". Down 8.0%p from yesterday. $30 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
8.030%
PoliticsVol $30Total volume $30Liquidity $11Kin 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Sep 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
29.5%
8.0
September 30
6.50%
12.5

Probability over time

December 31
September 30
02550751009/39/4
2026-09-03 ~ 2026-09-04 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.