Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 17.5% on "Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory". $123 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
18%
PoliticsVol $123Total volume $1.7KLiquidity $63Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
17.5%
Republican 15-20%
15.0%
2.5
Republican 5-10%
15.0%
1.0
Republican 20-25%
11.5%
8.5
Republican 0-5%
11.0%
0.5
Republican 30%+
10.0%
7.4
Republican 25-30%
10.0%
3.0
Democrat Wins
9.50%
0.5

Probability over time

Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 30%+
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.