Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-5%" at 26.5% on "Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory". $401 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 0-5%
–27%
PoliticsVol $401Total volume $19KLiquidity $96Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 0-5%
26.5%
–
Democrat Wins
26.5%
▼1.0
Republican 5-10%
21.0%
–
Republican 10-15%
14.5%
▼1.5
Republican 15-20%
7.35%
▲2.5
Republican 20-25%
4.55%
▼1.8
Republican 30%+
2.55%
▼3.9
Republican 25-30%
1.60%
–

Probability over time

Republican 0-5%
Democrat Wins
Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
02550751008/259/79/159/2310/110/910/11
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.