Victoria Mayoral Election

Polymarket traders put "Marianne Alto" at 96.0% on "Victoria Mayoral Election". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 18.

Most likely right now
Marianne Alto
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $3.9KLiquidity $40Kin 8 days (Oct 18)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Marianne Alto
96.0%
–
Melissa Cseszko
3.40%
–

Probability over time

Marianne Alto
Melissa Cseszko
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.