Virginia Senate Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Mark Warner (D)" at 98.0% on "Virginia Senate Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Mark Warner (D)
–98%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $24KLiquidity $58Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Mark Warner (D)
98.0%
–
Bert Mizusawa (R)
2.20%
–
Probability over time
Mark Warner (D)
Bert Mizusawa (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
