Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 21%+" at 48.5% on "Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory". $7 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 21%+
–49%
PoliticsVol $7Total volume $11KLiquidity $188Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 21%+
48.5%
–
Democrat 18-21%
19.6%
–
Democrat 15-18%
15.5%
–
Democrat 12-15%
8.00%
▼1.5
Democrat 9-12%
4.80%
▲1.1
Democrat 0-3%
1.00%
–
Democrat 6-9%
0.85%
–
Republican 0-3%
0.55%
–
Democrat 3-6%
0.45%
–
Republican 3%+
0.40%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 21%+
Democrat 18-21%
Democrat 15-18%
Democrat 12-15%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 0-3%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
