Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 21%+" at 30.5% on "Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory". $157 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 21%+
–31%
PoliticsVol $157Total volume $4.4KLiquidity $74Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 21%+
30.5%
–
Democrat 18-21%
19.8%
▲1.7
Democrat 9-12%
13.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 15-18%
11.5%
▼5.0
Democrat 12-15%
7.00%
▲2.5
Democrat 6-9%
4.00%
▼1.5
Democrat 3-6%
1.25%
▼0.7
Democrat 0-3%
0.95%
–
Republican 0-3%
0.90%
▼2.3
Republican 3%+
0.50%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 21%+
Democrat 18-21%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 15-18%
Democrat 12-15%
Democrat 6-9%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
