Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
Polymarket traders put "Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?" at 5.1%. Unchanged from yesterday. $78 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
–5%
PoliticsVol $78Total volume $45KLiquidity $19KComments 7in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
5.10%
–
Probability over time
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-12 · y-axis %
