VT-AL House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 26.0% on "VT-AL House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▼2.026%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $236Liquidity $10Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
26.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 15-25%
25.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 45-50%
25.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 40-45%
25.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 55%+
24.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 0-15%
24.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 50-55%
19.0%
▼4.0
Democrat 35-40%
18.5%
▼5.5
Democrat 30-35%
18.5%
▼4.5
Republican Wins
3.00%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 15-25%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 55%+
Democrat 0-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
