VT-AL House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 40-45%" at 27.5% on "VT-AL House Election Margin of Victory". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 40-45%
–28%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $14KLiquidity $138Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 40-45%
27.5%
–
Democrat 45-50%
22.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 30-35%
18.5%
▲3.5
Democrat 35-40%
15.4%
▲0.5
Democrat 50-55%
14.6%
▼1.5
Democrat 55%+
0.55%
–
Democrat 25-30%
0.40%
–
Democrat 15-25%
0.30%
–
Democrat 0-15%
0.30%
–
Republican Wins
0.30%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 55%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
