WA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 38.0% on "WA-01 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
–38%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $6Liquidity $1.1Kin 25 days (Nov 3)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
38.0%
–
Democrat 0-5%
38.0%
▼0.5
Republican Wins
37.1%
–

Probability over time

Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 0-5%
Republican Wins
02550751009/3010/210/410/610/810/9
2026-09-30 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.