WA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 40.0% on "WA-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
▲2.540%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $644Liquidity $1.8Kin 11 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
40.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 35-40%
36.5%
–
Republican Wins
36.0%
–
Democrat 15-20%
5.50%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 35-40%
Republican Wins
Democrat 15-20%
2026-09-06 ~ 2026-10-23 · y-axis %
