WA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 15%+" at 38.0% on "WA-03 House Election Margin of Victory". $64 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 15%+
–38%
PoliticsVol $64Total volume $64Liquidity $1.1Kin 25 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 15%+
38.0%
–
Democrat 12-15%
38.0%
–
Democrat 9-12%
38.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 6-9%
38.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 0-3%
38.0%
–
Republican 3-6%
38.0%
–
Republican 6-9%
38.0%
▼0.5
Republican 9%+
38.0%
–
Democrat 3-6%
37.5%
▼0.5
Republican 0-3%
37.5%
▼1.0
Probability over time
Democrat 15%+
Democrat 12-15%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 3-6%
2026-09-13 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
