WA-05 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Michael Baumgartner (R)" at 80.5% on "WA-05 House Election Winner". $28 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Michael Baumgartner (R)
–81%
PoliticsVol $28Total volume $58KLiquidity $84Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Michael Baumgartner (R)
80.5%
–
Carmela Conroy (D)
18.1%
–
Probability over time
Michael Baumgartner (R)
Carmela Conroy (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
