WA-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican Wins" at 38.5% on "WA-06 House Election Margin of Victory". $67 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican Wins
–39%
PoliticsVol $67Total volume $67Liquidity $927in 1 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican Wins
38.5%
–
Democrat 15-20%
37.5%
–
Democrat 5-10%
37.5%
–
Democrat 0-5%
37.5%
–

Probability over time

Republican Wins
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 0-5%
02550751009/139/3010/110/210/3
2026-09-13 ~ 2026-10-03 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.